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Congress
International
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Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be charged with a federal crime this year?

Ilhan Omar
Ilhan Omar
Ilhan Omar
2.59x
Cassidy Hutchinson
Cassidy Hutchinson
Cassidy Hutchinson
3.18x
$2,115,686 vol43 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

Andrew Oldham
Andrew Oldham
Andrew Oldham
5.25x
D. John Sauer
D. John Sauer
D. John Sauer
6.74x
$749,325 vol41 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be arrested this year?

Ilhan Omar
Ilhan Omar
Ilhan Omar
2.89x
John Brennan
John Brennan
John Brennan
4.73x
$2,555,751 vol25 markets
SCOTUS & courts

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear this year?

Roybal v. Griffith
1.57x
Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day
3.96x
$54,783 vol9 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS rule for DHS on third-country deportations?

Yes
1.22x
No
1.12x
$2,353 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

When will NCAA settlement back-pay payments begin?

Before Jan 1, 2029
1.83x
Before Jan 1, 2028
3.96x
$1,895 vol2 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?

Yes
2.05x
No
1.23x
$3,172 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.86x
Before Oct 1, 2027
1.65x
$580,801 vol5 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will courts let the 75-country visa suspension resume?

Yes
2.34x
No
1.46x
$4,231 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?

Yes
7.25x
No
1.06x
$12,494 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS reject a benchmark requirement for ERISA fund-underperformance claims?

Yes
5.25x
No
1.15x
$1,236 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.03x
$406,941 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.05x
$65,085 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?

Yes
1.97x
No
1.79x
$32,227 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?

Yes
1.18x
No
4.51x
$5,872 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the D.C. Circuit fully affirm the Perkins Coie ruling?

Yes
1.33x
No
2.73x
$220 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.62x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.81x
$16,689 vol2 markets
Trump

Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?

Before Jul 1, 2027
2.09x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.89x
$7,637 vol2 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit?

Yes
4.31x
No
1.16x
$3,336 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?

Yes
1.33x
No
2.73x
$839 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS permit Missouri’s HB 1 House map?

Yes
31.2x
No
1.01x
$26,538 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS let district courts hear constitutional challenges to veterans-benefits laws?

Yes
1.70x
No
1.93x
$799 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump’s term?

6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
1.31x
7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals
6.74x
$29,559 vol5 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?

Yes
1.52x
No
2.34x
$4,417 vol1 market