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TrendingElections

Politics

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NYC

All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
NYC

Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October?

Yes
1.10x
No
7.85x
$11,336 vol1 market
NYC

Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/23 - 8/29)

Yes
6.74x
No
1.14x
$408 vol1 market
Politics

Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York?

Yes
6.74x
No
1.12x
$8,633 vol1 market
Local

Will Mamdani open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?

Yes
1.25x
No
3.96x
$35,353 vol1 market
Local

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?

Before 2030
2.24x
Before 2029
2.59x
$102,638 vol4 markets
Politics

How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?

At least 1
2.52x
At least 2
3.29x
$85,615 vol6 markets
NYC

How many new housing units will NYC permit this year?

Above 26,000
1.65x
Above 29,000
3.29x
$18 vol7 markets
Local

Will NYC buses become free before 2027?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.03x
$28,982 vol1 market
Politics

Will Mamdani run for re-election?

Yes
1.26x
No
3.52x
$532 vol1 market
Local

Will Mamdani raise property taxes?

Yes
6.29x
No
1.08x
$14,860 vol1 market
Local

Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?

Yes
7.85x
No
1.12x
$30,134 vol1 market
Local

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.05x
$18,246 vol1 market
Politics

Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average?

4.19 million
1.55x
4.65 million
9.41x
$12,889 vol2 markets
Local

NYC teachers’ aides paid the Respect Check before February?

Yes
3.29x
No
1.28x
$0 vol1 market
NYC

Will NYC’s rent freeze take effect on October 1?

Yes
1.08x
No
9.41x
$6,077 vol1 market
Local

NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?

Increase 0.01-0.99%
2.09x
Decrease 0-0.99%
2.73x
$86,397 vol8 markets
Politics

Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?

Yes
8.56x
No
1.10x
$38,801 vol1 market
Local

Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?

Yes
11.7x
No
1.04x
$39,642 vol1 market
Local

Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes this year?

Yes
8.56x
No
1.04x
$72,787 vol1 market
NYC

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries this year?

Above 175 million
2.81x
Above 170 million
1.25x
$181 vol5 markets
NYC

What will NYC’s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026?

At least 8.3 mph
2.59x
At least 8.2 mph
1.44x
$205 vol6 markets
NYC

What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?

Above 94,000
1.79x
Above 96,000
2.34x
$450 vol8 markets
NYC

NYPD uniformed headcount at the end of 2026?

Above 35,000
1.83x
Above 34,750
1.40x
$205 vol7 markets
NYC

How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?

Above 6,000
1.62x
Above 8,000
2.09x
$2 vol7 markets