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All markets
Congress
International
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Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Trump
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jul 1, 2027
1.90
x
48
%
Before Apr 1, 2027
2.29
x
41
%
$40,877,122 vol
10 markets
International
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.10
x
88
%
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.05
x
94
%
$58,301 vol
2 markets
International
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Before January 20, 2029
5.26
x
19
%
Before 2027
25.0
x
4
%
$7,500,821 vol
2 markets
International
Which leaders will leave office this year?
Christopher Luxon
1.97
x
49
%
Benjamin Netanyahu
2.09
x
46
%
$8,824,862 vol
34 markets
International
Nobel Peace Prize winner
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
4.73
x
19
%
Save the Children
7.25
x
13
%
$801,240 vol
21 markets
International
What countries will Trump visit this year?
Germany
2.89
x
31
%
Saudi Arabia
3.96
x
21
%
$779,508 vol
21 markets
Trump
What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
20% or above
2.24
x
36
%
30% or above
3.08
x
30
%
$1,604 vol
3 markets
International
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Before Jan 1, 2030
2.24
x
43
%
Before Jan 1, 2029
2.98
x
28
%
$482,693 vol
4 markets
Sports
Will the 2026 Pro Football champs visit the White House?
Yes
3.08
x
26
%
No
1.38
x
74
%
$605,854 vol
1 market
International
Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.48
x
62
%
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.26
x
74
%
$13,470 vol
2 markets
Trump
Which USMCA outcomes will occur this year?
U.S.–Mexico interim agreement
2.52
x
33
%
Trilateral revised deal
3.08
x
25
%
$8,501 vol
8 markets
International
Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria?
Yes
2.59
x
35
%
No
1.48
x
65
%
$37,519 vol
1 market
International
Will the US acquire any new territory?
Before Jan 21, 2029
4.13
x
20
%
Before Jan 2028
5.25
x
18
%
$801,465 vol
3 markets
Politics
Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
Before December 1, 2026
6.29
x
15
%
Before November 1, 2026
7.25
x
9
%
$1,042,567 vol
4 markets
Politics
Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
China
2.01
x
43
%
Alaska
8.56
x
7
%
$42,934 vol
10 markets
Trump
Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?
Yes
4.51
x
4
%
No
1.16
x
96
%
$9,079 vol
1 market
International
Will Kash Patel visit Russia before November?
Yes
1.48
x
64
%
No
2.66
x
36
%
$11,011 vol
1 market
International
Will Netanyahu be arrested?
Before Jan 1, 2027
11.7
x
7
%
Before Nov 1, 2026
18.8
x
5
%
$108,095 vol
3 markets
International
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
Before Jun 1, 2027
1.55
x
63
%
Before Jan 1, 2027
4.51
x
19
%
$947,447 vol
7 markets
International
Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
John Healey
5.90
x
14
%
Miatta Fahnbulleh
6.74
x
14
%
$40,058 vol
23 markets
International
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
Before Jan 20, 2029
2.73
x
35
%
Before 2027
9.41
x
10
%
$540,527 vol
2 markets
International
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
Yes
8.56
x
10
%
No
1.10
x
90
%
$117,350 vol
1 market
International
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
Yes
9.41
x
10
%
No
1.06
x
90
%
$141,145 vol
1 market
Trump
Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with this year?
China
4.31
x
16
%
Argentina
4.73
x
13
%
$8,547 vol
9 markets