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All markets
Congress
Foreign Elections
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Trump

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jul 1, 2028
1.97x
Before Jan 1, 2029
1.79x
$46,966,481 vol17 markets
International

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 310
1.90x
Above 300
1.40x
$222,844 vol8 markets
International

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 190
1.83x
Above 185
1.50x
$156,814 vol12 markets
International

Will France declare a state of emergency?

Before Jan 1, 2027
3.52x
Before Nov 1, 2026
4.73x
$13,626 vol2 markets
International

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 190
1.93x
Above 195
2.09x
$48,970 vol11 markets
International

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 290
1.83x
Above 300
2.46x
$53,338 vol8 markets
International

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 190
1.86x
Above 195
2.59x
$41,577 vol9 markets
International

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro
Nicolás Maduro
Nicolás Maduro
1.26x
Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez
4.31x
$5,742,985 vol18 markets
International

What countries will Trump visit this year?

Japan
Japan
Japan
5.56x
Germany
Germany
Germany
7.25x
$858,073 vol22 markets
International

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Before Jan 21, 2029
3.80x
Before Jan 2028
4.51x
$830,970 vol3 markets
International

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Before Jan 1, 2030
2.19x
Before Jan 1, 2029
3.18x
$505,033 vol4 markets
International

Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?

Rebeca Grynspan
Rebeca Grynspan
Rebeca Grynspan
2.89x
Rafael Grossi
Rafael Grossi
Rafael Grossi
4.13x
$114,582 vol15 markets
Trump

When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together?

Before Jan 1, 2027
1.67x
Before Jan 1, 2028
1.28x
$8,301 vol3 markets
International

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia
13.4x
Belize
Belize
Belize
8.56x
$407,997 vol11 markets
International

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Before January 20, 2029
5.56x
Before 2027
50.0x
$7,710,211 vol2 markets
International

Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?

Before Jan 10, 2027
1.52x
Before Mar 1, 2027
1.34x
$6,987 vol2 markets
International

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 190
1.67x
Above 185
1.33x
$116,617 vol10 markets
International

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.46x
Before Jan 1, 2028
3.96x
$583,988 vol3 markets
Iran

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Before Feb 1, 2027
1.70x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.34x
$39,914 vol6 markets
International

Will Kash Patel visit Russia?

Before Jan 1, 2027
3.40x
Before Nov 1, 2026
31.2x
$22,944 vol2 markets
International

Will Trump visit China?

Before Dec 1, 2026
1.05x
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.03x
$12,147 vol2 markets
International

Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?

Yes
4.51x
No
1.15x
$14,075 vol1 market
International

Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?

Inheritance Tax Rise
3.18x
Capital Gains Tax Rise
4.13x
$5,909 vol5 markets
International

When will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?

Before Apr 1, 2027
1.76x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.40x
$9,971 vol5 markets