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Trending
Frequency
Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?
Before September 1, 2026
1.83
x
53
%
Before July 1, 2026
2.24
x
43
%
$14,138,981 vol
5 markets
World leaders out before 2027?
Keir Starmer
1.93
x
50
%
Viktor Orbán
1.83
x
53
%
$3,986,608 vol
38 markets
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 2029
2.29
x
42
%
Before 2027
4.51
x
21
%
$2,767,531 vol
3 markets
Who will lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
1.73
x
56
%
María Corina Machado
4.31
x
22
%
$3,378,067 vol
18 markets
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Before January 20, 2029
2.89
x
33
%
Before 2027
5.90
x
16
%
$5,514,648 vol
3 markets
Will Donald Trump visit Greenland in January?
Yes
93.52
x
1
%
No
1.01
x
99
%
$101,984 vol
1 market
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?
Yes
4.73
x
20
%
No
1.23
x
80
%
$164,499 vol
1 market
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz this year?
Yes
2.29
x
42
%
No
1.67
x
58
%
$68,124 vol
1 market
Will the UK ban Grok before March?
Yes
6.74
x
14
%
No
1.15
x
86
%
$80,741 vol
1 market
Lisa Cook Out as Fed Governor?
Before Jan 2027
5.56
x
17
%
Before March 2026
23.43
x
4
%
$2,371,992 vol
3 markets
Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran this year?
Yes
3.40
x
28
%
No
1.36
x
72
%
$131,599 vol
1 market
New US-Iran nuclear deal this year?
Yes
2.24
x
43
%
No
1.70
x
57
%
$41,466 vol
1 market
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran this year?
Yes
2.66
x
36
%
No
1.52
x
64
%
$85,411 vol
1 market
Miguel Díaz-Canel out?
Before September 1, 2026
1.86
x
52
%
Before June 1, 2026
2.59
x
37
%
$78,786 vol
6 markets
Which parties will be a part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
JA21
23.43
x
4
%
PVV
93.52
x
1
%
$34,666 vol
15 markets
Jerome Powell out as Fed Governor before August 2026?
Yes
1.50
x
65
%
No
2.73
x
35
%
$139,510 vol
1 market
Will the US acquire any new territory?
Before Jan 2028
2.29
x
42
%
Before Jan 21, 2029
2.59
x
37
%
$424,412 vol
5 markets
Who will win the Brazil presidential election?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1.83
x
53
%
Flávio Bolsonaro
3.66
x
26
%
$333,299 vol
11 markets
Who will visit Venezuela before May?
Dinorah Figuera
2.05
x
47
%
Edmundo González Urrutia
2.14
x
45
%
$210,344 vol
22 markets
Global right wing sweep: October 2025
Yes
46.79
x
2
%
No
1.02
x
98
%
$323,490 vol
1 market
Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?
Yes
3.66
x
26
%
No
1.33
x
74
%
$32,777 vol
1 market
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
Before 2027
2.09
x
46
%
Before Jan 20, 2029
1.57
x
62
%
$233,513 vol
4 markets
Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?
Delcy Rodríguez
1.50
x
65
%
María Corina Machado
15.64
x
6
%
$99,612 vol
15 markets
Who will visit Minnesota before March?
Kash Patel
2.29
x
42
%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
3.66
x
26
%
$8,069 vol
10 markets
