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All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Iran

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.46x
Before Jan 1, 2028
2.81x
$22,602,069 vol7 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 25
2.01x
Above 27
1.93x
$91,995 vol8 markets
Iran

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 6
2.19x
Above 5
1.28x
$21,088 vol8 markets
Iran

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25)

October 19
5.25x
October 21
6.29x
$8,253 vol7 markets
Iran

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

Before 2028
8.56x
Before 2027
31.2x
$311,448 vol2 markets
Iran

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)

At least 9
2.73x
At least 10
2.98x
$20,927 vol7 markets
Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?

Yes
25.0x
No
1.03x
$1,941,193 vol1 market
Iran

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Before Feb 1, 2027
1.67x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.29x
$40,015 vol6 markets
Iran

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Yes
31.2x
No
1.02x
$1,658,051 vol1 market
Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran this year?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.05x
$2,139,810 vol1 market
Iran

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran this year?

Yes
23.4x
No
1.04x
$1,056,020 vol1 market
Iran

Will the U.S. and Iran hold a China-mediated meeting before Feb 1, 2027?

Yes
6.74x
No
1.14x
$0 vol1 market
Iran

Will Iran become a democracy this year?

Yes
50.0x
No
1.01x
$323,418 vol1 market
Iran

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get this year?

Above 30
5.56x
Above 40
7.25x
$204,059 vol10 markets