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TrendingElections

Politics

CultureSportsCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science

Iran

All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Iran

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.66x
Before Jan 1, 2028
3.18x
$20,283,615 vol9 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/17 - 8/23)

Above 35
1.83x
Above 30
1.12x
$86,819 vol11 markets
Iran

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 10
1.38x
Above 15
2.34x
$12,086 vol6 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 30
1.79x
Above 35
2.81x
$5,937 vol11 markets
Iran

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/17 - 8/23)

August 22
1.22x
August 23
5.25x
$7,591 vol7 markets
Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran this year?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.06x
$1,591,143 vol1 market
Iran

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/17 - 8/23)

Above 290
1.42x
Above 300
2.81x
$4,567 vol5 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/17 - 8/23)

Above 200
1.34x
Above 225
10.4x
$5,872 vol5 markets
Politics

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (August 2026)

At least 30
13.4x
At least 40
23.4x
$48,420 vol8 markets
Iran

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran this year?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.06x
$1,005,155 vol1 market
Iran

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 200
1.25x
Above 225
3.96x
$1,443 vol5 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/17 - 8/23)

Above 200
1.28x
Above 225
3.52x
$1,564 vol5 markets
Iran

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Yes
23.4x
No
1.03x
$1,553,946 vol1 market
Iran

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 200
2.09x
Above 175
1.29x
$41 vol5 markets
Politics

Will Iran become a democracy this year?

Yes
33.3x
No
1.02x
$296,711 vol1 market
Finance

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?

Yes
25.0x
No
1.03x
$1,816,493 vol1 market
Iran

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 290
2.19x
Above 280
1.33x
$0 vol5 markets
Iran

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

Before 2027
18.8x
Before September 2026
93.5x
$290,400 vol2 markets
Iran

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/24 - 8/30)

August 30
4.73x
August 24
5.25x
$0 vol7 markets
Politics

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get this year?

Above 40
2.14x
Above 50
2.98x
$95,731 vol9 markets