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  1. House

UT-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Mike Kennedy
Republican party
95.6%

Mike Kennedy

Republican party
95.6%
Jonny Larsen
Democratic party
4.4%

Jonny Larsen

Democratic party
4.4%
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UT-03 House winner?

More Utah and 2026 Midterm Races

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

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Rhode Island Governor race: Foulkes vs. BlockMaryland Governor race: Moore vs. CoxNebraska Governor race: Pillen vs. WalzNew Mexico Senate race: Luján vs. MarkerConnecticut Governor race: Lamont vs. FazioOklahoma Senate race: Hern vs. ThomasSouth Carolina Governor race: Wilson vs. JohnsonRhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKayColorado Senate race: Hickenlooper vs. BaisleyVirginia Senate race: Warner vs. Mizusawa
UT-04 House winner?

Mike Kennedy

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Larsen
Nov 3 ·R +25.8margin forecast
Kennedy
$54,636 vol
Race Intel

UT-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentBurgess Owens (R)Not seeking re-election

UT-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Jonny LarsenD
    $53.6K
    14%
    $53.6K raised·14% small donors
  • Mike KennedyR
    $1.2M
    0.5%
    $1.2M raised·0.5% small donors

Kennedy vs. Larsen Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsKennedy 96%Larsen 4% · $5,228 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past UT-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +31.8%2020R +33.0%