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  1. House

TX-06 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Jake Ellzey
Republican party
98.6%
▲ 0.5

Jake Ellzey

Republican party
98.6%
▲ 0.5
Danny Minton
Democratic party
1.4%
▼ 0.5

Danny Minton

Democratic party
1.4%
▼ 0.5
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Alaska Governor raceNew Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. MurphyKansas Governor race: Masterson vs. HolscherAlabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. JonesNew Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. HullLouisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. DavisMaine Governor race: Pingree vs. CharlesMassachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. DeatonRhode Island Governor race: Foulkes vs. BlockMaryland Governor race: Moore vs. Cox
TX-06 House winner?

Jake Ellzey

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Minton
Nov 3 ·R +14.8margin forecast
Ellzey
$6,678 vol
Race Intel

TX-06 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJake Ellzey (R)Running for re-election

TX-06 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Danny MintonD
    $44.3K
    35%
    $44.3K raised·35% small donors
  • Jake EllzeyR
    $5.5M
    8.6%
    $5.5M raised·8.6% small donors

Ellzey vs. Minton Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsEllzey 99%Minton 1% · $3,664 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-06 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +22.9%2020R +19.4%