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  1. House

SD-AL House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Marty Jackley
Republican party
95.8%

Marty Jackley

Republican party
95.8%
Nicole Gronli
Democratic party
4.2%

Nicole Gronli

Democratic party
4.2%
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SD-AL House winner?

Marty Jackley

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Gronli
Nov 3
Jackley
$7,173 vol
Race Intel

SD-AL House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentDusty Johnson (R)Not seeking re-election

SD-AL House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Marty JackleyR
    $1.7M
    1.1%
    $1.7M raised·1.1% small donors
  • Nikki GronliD
    $387.2K
    34%
    $387.2K raised·34% small donors

Jackley vs. Gronli Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsJackley 96%Gronli 4% · $5,606 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past SD-AL Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +29.2%2020R +26.2%