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House
NJ-04 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Chris Smith
Republican party
96.5%
Yes
98¢
No
3.4¢
Chris Smith
Republican party
96.5%
Yes
98¢
No
3.4¢
Rachel Peace
Democratic party
3.5%
Yes
3.2¢
No
99.4¢
Rachel Peace
Democratic party
3.5%
Yes
3.2¢
No
99.4¢
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Dollars
NJ-04 House winner?
Chris Smith
YES 98¢
NO 3.4¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Peace
Nov 3
·
R +26.0
margin forecast
Smith
$14,178 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
NJ-04 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Christopher Smith (R)
Running for re-election
NJ-04 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Chris Smith
R
$592K
14%
$592K raised
·
14% small donors
Rachel Peace
D
$92.7K
48%
$92.7K raised
·
48% small donors
Smith vs. Peace Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Smith 97%
Peace 4% · $3,840 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past NJ-04 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +30.1%
2020
R +22.4%