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House
LA-05 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Republican party
96.5%
Yes
97.5¢
No
4.5¢
Republican party
96.5%
Yes
97.5¢
No
4.5¢
Democratic party
3.5%
Yes
3.6¢
No
99.3¢
Democratic party
3.5%
Yes
3.6¢
No
99.3¢
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Buy
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Dollars
LA-05 House winner?
Republican party
YES 97.5¢
NO 4.5¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Democrat
Nov 3
·
R +39.2
margin forecast
Republican
$75,534 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
· Louisiana
LA-05 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Julia Letlow (R)
Not seeking re-election
LA-05 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Blake Miguez
R
$6.6M
6.7%
$6.6M raised
·
6.7% small donors
Dan McKay
D
$90K
26%
$90K raised
·
26% small donors
Miguez vs. McKay Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Miguez 97%
McKay 4% · $15.2K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past LA-05 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +29.0%
2020
R +34.0%