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  1. House

KY-06 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Ralph Alvarado
Republican party
68%

Ralph Alvarado

Republican party
68%
Zach Dembo
Democratic party
32%

Zach Dembo

Democratic party
32%
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KY-06 House winner?

Ralph Alvarado

Odds
70% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Dembo
Nov 3 ·R +1.3margin forecast
Alvarado
$161,272 vol
Race Intel

KY-06 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentAndy Barr (R)Not seeking re-election

KY-06 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Zach DemboD45.0%
    45.0%
    $1.5M
    11%
    $1.5M raised·11% small donors
  • Ralph AlvaradoR41.2%
    41.2%
    $2.2M
    0.9%
    $2.2M raised·0.9% small donors

Alvarado vs. Dembo Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageDembo +3.845.0% vs. 41.2%
Kalshi oddsAlvarado 68%Dembo 32% · $146.7K traded
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past KY-06 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +15.0%2020R +11.0%