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  1. House

KY-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Ed Gallrein
Republican party
96.2%
▲ 1.9

Ed Gallrein

Republican party
96.2%
▲ 1.9
Melissa Claire Strange
Democratic party
3.8%
▼ 1.9

Melissa Claire Strange

Democratic party
3.8%
▼ 1.9
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KY-04 House winner?

Ed Gallrein

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Strange
Nov 3 ·R +22.5margin forecast
Gallrein
$63,331 vol
Race Intel

KY-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentThomas Massie (R)Lost primary

KY-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Ed GallreinR
    $4M
    14%
    $4M raised·14% small donors
  • Melissa StrangeD
    $146.1K
    16%
    $146.1K raised·16% small donors

Gallrein vs. Strange Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsGallrein 96%Strange 4% · $49.8K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past KY-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +35.5%2020R +32.5%