Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive104AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE104
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

FL-17 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Greg Steube
Republican party
94.6%

Greg Steube

Republican party
94.6%
Matthew Montavon
Democratic party
5.4%

Matthew Montavon

Democratic party
5.4%
People are also trading
Series Image
Florida's 17th District margin of victory
Series Image
Florida 17 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
FL-17 House election: Greg Steube vote percent
Series Image
FL-17 House election: Matthew Montavon vote percent
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Series Image
Ohio Governor winner?
Series Image
New York Governor winner?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?

More Florida and 2026 Midterm Races

More Florida races

Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyFlorida Senate race: Moody vs. NixonFL-25 House raceFL-14 House raceFL-22 House raceFL-27 House raceFL-09 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Alaska Governor raceNew Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. MurphyKansas Governor race: Masterson vs. HolscherAlabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. JonesNew Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. HullLouisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. DavisMaine Governor race: Pingree vs. CharlesMassachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. DeatonRhode Island Governor race: Foulkes vs. BlockMaryland Governor race: Moore vs. Cox
FL-17 House winner?

Greg Steube

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Montavon
Nov 3 ·R +16.0margin forecast
Steube
$12,099 vol
Race Intel

FL-17 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentW. Steube (R)Running for re-election

FL-17 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Greg SteubeR
    $1.6M
    9.3%
    $1.6M raised·9.3% small donors
  • Matthew MontavonD
    $148.2K
    22%
    $148.2K raised·22% small donors

Steube vs. Montavon Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsSteube 95%Montavon 5% · $5,557 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past FL-17 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +22.0%2020R +13.9%