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House
WI-04 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Gwen Moore
Democratic party
94.9%
▼ 1.2
Yes
98.4¢
No
5.6¢
Gwen Moore
Democratic party
94.9%
▼ 1.2
Yes
98.4¢
No
5.6¢
Tim Rogers
Republican party
5.1%
▲ 1.2
Yes
5.3¢
No
99.6¢
Tim Rogers
Republican party
5.1%
▲ 1.2
Yes
5.3¢
No
99.6¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
WI-04 House winner?
Gwen Moore
YES 98.4¢
NO 5.6¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Moore
Nov 3
·
D +58.4
margin forecast
Rogers
$1,739 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
WI-04 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Gwen Moore (D)
Running for re-election
WI-04 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Gwen Moore
D
$1.1M
3.3%
$1.1M raised
·
3.3% small donors
Tim Rogers
R
—
—
Moore vs. Rogers Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Moore 95%
Rogers 5% · $1,284 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past WI-04 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +51.4%
2020
D +53.1%