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  1. House

VA-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Jennifer McClellan
Democratic party
96.4%
▼ 1.2

Jennifer McClellan

Democratic party
96.4%
▼ 1.2
Robert Murray
Republican party
3.6%
▲ 1.2

Robert Murray

Republican party
3.6%
▲ 1.2
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VA-04 House election: Jennifer McClellan vote percent

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VA-04 House winner?

Jennifer McClellan

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
McClellan
Nov 3 ·D +42.0margin forecast
Murray
$29,573 vol
Race Intel

VA-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJennifer McClellan (D)Running for re-election

VA-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Jennifer McClellanD
    $1.5M
    6.8%
    $1.5M raised·6.8% small donors
  • Robert MurrayR
    $1,228
    55%
    $1,228 raised·55% small donors

McClellan vs. Murray Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsMcClellan 96%Murray 4% · $9,622 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past VA-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +32.6%2020D +35.7%