Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive104AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE104
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

TN-01 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Diana Harshbarger
Republican party
95.2%

Diana Harshbarger

Republican party
95.2%
Kristi Burke
Democratic party
4.8%

Kristi Burke

Democratic party
4.8%
People are also trading
Series Image
Tennessee Senate winner?
Series Image
Tennessee's 1st District margin of victory
Series Image
Tennessee 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
Tennessee Governor winner?
Series Image
TN-09 House winner?
Series Image
TN-05 House winner?
Series Image
TN-04 House winner?
Series Image
How many House seats will Democrats win in Tennessee?
Series Image
TN-02 House winner?
Series Image
TN-01 House election: Diana Harshbarger vote percent

More Tennessee and 2026 Midterm Races

More Tennessee races

Tennessee Senate race: Hagerty vs. BradshawTennessee Governor race: Blackburn vs. Green

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley

More races

Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaAlaska Senate raceMinnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. TafoyaNebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. OsbornCalifornia Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonNew Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. SununuGeorgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. CollinsIowa Governor race: Sand vs. LahnGeorgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. Jackson
TN-01 House winner?

Diana Harshbarger

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Burke
Nov 3 ·R +47.6margin forecast
Harshbarger
$9,088 vol
Race Intel

TN-01 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentDiana Harshbarger (R)Running for re-election

TN-01 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Diana HarshbargerR
    $1.5M
    7.4%
    $1.5M raised·7.4% small donors
  • Kristi BurkeD
    $102K
    70%
    $102K raised·70% small donors

Harshbarger vs. Burke Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsHarshbarger 95%Burke 5% · $2,068 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TN-01 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +57.8%2020R +54.2%