Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive104AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE104
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

MI-09 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Lisa McClain
Republican party
95.1%

Lisa McClain

Republican party
95.1%
Ray Pooley
Democratic party
4.9%

Ray Pooley

Democratic party
4.9%
People are also trading
Series Image
Michigan's 9th District margin of victory
Series Image
Michigan 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
MI-09 House election: Lisa McClain vote percent
Series Image
MI-09 House election: Ray Pooley vote percent
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Series Image
Ohio Governor winner?
Series Image
New York Governor winner?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?

More Michigan and 2026 Midterm Races

More Michigan races

Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersMichigan Governor race: Benson vs. JamesMI-07 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Texas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaAlaska Senate raceMinnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. TafoyaNebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. OsbornCalifornia Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonNew Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. SununuGeorgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. CollinsIowa Governor race: Sand vs. LahnGeorgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. JacksonNevada Governor race: Ford vs. Lombardo
MI-09 House winner?

Lisa McClain

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Pooley
Nov 3 ·R +27.3margin forecast
McClain
$9,941 vol
Race Intel

MI-09 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentLisa McClain (R)Running for re-election

MI-09 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Lisa McClainR
    $6M
    18%
    $6M raised·18% small donors
  • Ray PooleyD
    $8,084
    53%
    $8,084 raised·53% small donors

McClain vs. Pooley Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsMcClain 95%Pooley 5% · $6,574 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MI-09 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +32.3%2020R +29.5%