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House
IA-04 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Chris McGowan
Republican party
97.8%
Yes
97¢
No
4.2¢
Chris McGowan
Republican party
97.8%
Yes
97¢
No
4.2¢
Dave Dawson
Democratic party
2.2%
Yes
2.9¢
No
98.9¢
Dave Dawson
Democratic party
2.2%
Yes
2.9¢
No
98.9¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
IA-04 House winner?
Chris McGowan
YES 97¢
NO 4.2¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Dawson
Nov 3
·
R +21.0
margin forecast
McGowan
$22,943 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
IA-04 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Randy Feenstra (R)
Not seeking re-election
IA-04 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Chris McGowan
R
$853.3K
0.7%
$853.3K raised
·
0.7% small donors
Dave Dawson
D
$240.2K
33%
$240.2K raised
·
33% small donors
McGowan vs. Dawson Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
McGowan 98%
Dawson 2% · $15.8K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past IA-04 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +31.5%
2020
R +26.0%