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House
FL-04 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Aaron Bean
Republican party
83%
▼ 3
Yes
85¢
No
16¢
Aaron Bean
Republican party
83%
▼ 3
Yes
85¢
No
16¢
LaShonda Holloway
Democratic party
17%
▲ 3
Yes
17¢
No
86¢
LaShonda Holloway
Democratic party
17%
▲ 3
Yes
17¢
No
86¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
FL-04 House winner?
Aaron Bean
YES 85¢
NO 16¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
86% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Holloway
Nov 3
·
R +8.1
margin forecast
Bean
$20,446 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
FL-04 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Aaron Bean (R)
Running for re-election
FL-04 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Aaron Bean
R
$2.5M
0.3%
$2.5M raised
·
0.3% small donors
LaShonda Holloway
D
$53.8K
33%
$53.8K raised
·
33% small donors
Bean vs. Holloway Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Bean 83%
Holloway 17% · $16K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past FL-04 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +11.8%
2020
R +6.7%