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Physics & Math

Who will win the Fields Medal this year?

John Pardon
John Pardon
John Pardon
1.02x
Yu Deng
Yu Deng
Yu Deng
1.02x
$137,734 vol10 markets
Physics & Math

Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before August?

Atomic Alchemy
1.93x
Radiant Industries
2.52x
$290,130 vol7 markets
Physics & Math

When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

Before September
2.14x
Before October
1.57x
$76,074 vol6 markets
Physics & Math

When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?

Before 2035
4.73x
Before 2032
5.90x
$71,831 vol4 markets
Physics & Math

When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?

Before 2035
1.65x
Before 2030
2.46x
$36,286 vol4 markets
Physics & Math

Nobel Physics winner?

Alexei Kitaev
3.40x
John Preskill
3.40x
$6,653 vol24 markets
Physics & Math

Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026

Amitav Ghosh
6.74x
Salman Rushdie
7.25x
$857 vol10 markets
Physics & Math

Nobel Prize in Economics 2026

Partha Dasgupta
7.25x
Robert Barro
9.41x
$653 vol9 markets
Physics & Math

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

Before 2035
1.83x
Before 2030
3.08x
$77,141 vol5 markets
Energy

Near room-temperature Meissner effect this year?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.02x
$2,660 vol1 market
Physics & Math

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

Before 2040
1.83x
Before 2035
2.01x
$45,136 vol3 markets