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Big Tech & Business

All markets
AI
AI Indices
Big Tech & Business
Education
Energy
Market Share
Medicine
Physics & Math
Public Health
Space
AI

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2028
1.79x
Before 2030
1.46x
$1,083,026 vol3 markets
Big Tech & Business

Where will Waymo operate this year?

Sacramento, CA
2.40x
Charlotte, NC
3.80x
$276,907 vol21 markets
AI

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Yes
6.29x
No
1.13x
$166,636 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?

Yes
1.50x
No
2.52x
$94,188 vol1 market
Tesla

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Yes
23.4x
No
1.03x
$378,281 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Clip-on device for clothing
7.85x
Glasses
8.56x
$148,674 vol10 markets
Big Tech & Business

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

Yes
4.31x
No
1.25x
$89,514 vol1 market
Space

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?

Yes
1.93x
No
1.83x
$56,884 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?

Yes
1.52x
No
2.29x
$60,772 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Which states will robotaxi be offered to this year?

Georgia
2.66x
Arizona
1.34x
$41,275 vol4 markets
Big Tech & Business

Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?

Yes
6.74x
No
1.07x
$23,521 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

How many people will Neuralink have implanted this year?

At least 40
2.24x
At least 30
1.46x
$14,062 vol6 markets
Big Tech & Business

Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.03x
$18,057 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?

Yes
1.70x
No
2.01x
$8,901 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?

Yes
1.83x
No
1.86x
$10,267 vol1 market