2026 Primaries

All Midterm Primary Election Markets

Governer

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Byron Donalds

1.05x95%

James Fishback

31.2x3%

$9,156,404 vol9 markets

Senate

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

Abdul El-Sayed

1.44x67%

Haley Stevens

2.89x33%

$2,270,737 vol9 markets

Governor

South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?

Larry Rhoden

1.12x88%

Toby Doeden

7.85x12%

$1,191,626 vol4 markets

Primaries

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Francesca Hong

1.70x57%

Mandela Barnes

3.18x30%

$1,021,292 vol11 markets

Primaries

MI-07 Democratic nominee?

William Lawrence

1.93x50%

Matt Maasdam

3.29x29%

$278,054 vol3 markets

Primaries

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

Lisa Demuth

2.09x45%

Mike Lindell

2.14x44%

$276,332 vol8 markets

Primaries

Massachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?

Ed Markey

1.40x70%

Seth Moulton

3.18x29%

$184,641 vol4 markets

Governor

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

At least 10%

2.19x43%

At least 5%

1.50x65%

$742,985 vol7 markets

Primaries

Arizona Republican Governor nominee?

Andy Biggs

1.01x99%

Christopher Ames

93.5x2%

$120,585 vol10 markets

Primaries

Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?

Marsha Blackburn

1.06x94%

John Rose

23.4x4%

$84,407 vol3 markets

Primaries

AZ-05 Republican nominee?

Mark Lamb

1.14x87%

Daniel Keenan

7.25x14%

$148,254 vol4 markets

Primaries

FL-06 Republican nominee?

Randy Fine

1.05x95%

Charles Gambaro

31.2x2%

$259,559 vol6 markets

Primaries

AZ-01 Democratic nominee?

Amish Shah

1.40x67%

Marlene Galán-Woods

5.90x16%

$72,010 vol6 markets

Primaries

Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?

Mike Mazzei

1.20x81%

Gentner Drummond

6.29x15%

$895,230 vol7 markets

Primaries

AZ-01 Republican nominee?

Jay Feely

1.12x87%

Joseph Chaplik

7.85x10%

$56,782 vol9 markets

Primaries

FL-25 Democratic nominee?

Jared Moskowitz

1.20x80%

Oliver Larkin

4.98x18%

$161,501 vol3 markets

Primaries

Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

John James

1.23x78%

Perry Johnson

5.25x16%

$361,714 vol15 markets

Primaries

MI-13 Democratic nominee?

Donavan McKinney

1.19x82%

Shri Thanedar

4.98x19%

$109,957 vol5 markets

Primaries

Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee?

Amy Klobuchar

1.01x98%

Tim Walz

93.5x1%

$474,626 vol10 markets

Primaries

Wyoming Republican Governor nominee?

Megan Degenfelder

1.29x77%

Eric Barlow

3.52x25%

$39,360 vol5 markets

Primaries

FL-10 Republican nominee?

Willie Montague

31.2x1%

Vibert White

31.2x1%

$91,015 vol3 markets

Primaries

Kansas Republican Governor nominee?

Ty Masterson

1.15x85%

Philip Sarnecki

6.74x13%

$69,818 vol8 markets

Primaries

AZ-04 Democratic nominee?

Greg Stanton

1.06x91%

Kai Newkirk

11.7x5%

$105,355 vol2 markets

Primaries

MO-01 Democratic nominee?

Cori Bush

1.79x54%

Wesley Bell

2.01x48%

$231,159 vol2 markets

Primaries

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

Peggy Flanagan

1.20x79%

Angie Craig

4.98x19%

$154,261 vol9 markets

Primaries

FL-20 Democratic nominee?

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

1.42x68%

Elijah Manley

3.08x30%

$56,823 vol7 markets

Primaries

Arizona Republican Attorney General nominee?

Warren Petersen

1.06x94%

Rodney Glassman

11.7x5%

$35,418 vol3 markets

Primaries

TN-09 Republican nominee?

Brent Taylor

1.10x89%

Todd Warner

6.74x11%

$31,010 vol4 markets

Primaries

How many House Republicans will lose their primary this year?

4

2.40x37%

3

2.29x37%

$253,295 vol8 markets

Primaries

TN-09 Democratic nominee?

Justin Pearson

1.07x91%

DeVante Hill

46.8x2%

$45,941 vol4 markets

Primaries

FL-09 Republican nominee?

Thomas Chalifoux

2.46x38%

Jorge Martinez

4.73x19%

$11,963 vol11 markets

Primaries

FL-14 Democratic nominee?

Kathy Castor

1.02x99%

Juan Arauz

31.2x1%

$6,939 vol2 markets

Primaries

FL-16 Republican nominee?

Sydney Gruters

1.10x92%

Eddie Speir

31.2x2%

$194,537 vol14 markets

Governor

Florida Republican governor primary: 2nd place

Jay Collins

1.57x59%

James Fishback

2.89x30%

$105,122 vol5 markets

Primaries

WI-01 Democratic nominee?

Mitchell Berman

1.03x85%

Peter Burgelis

13.4x3%

$6,360 vol8 markets

Primaries

Oklahoma Democratic Senate nominee?

N’Kiyla Thomas

1.06x93%

Jim Priest

15.6x6%

$40,638 vol4 markets

Primaries

FL-22 Republican nominee?

Michael Carbonara

1.08x91%

Belinda Kaiser

31.2x3%

$55,083 vol15 markets

Senate

Michigan Senate Democratic primary: 2nd place

Haley Stevens

1.40x66%

Abdul El-Sayed

2.98x33%

$26,754 vol3 markets

Primaries

LA-01 Republican nominee?

Steve Scalise

7.25x13%

Randall Arrington

11.7x1%

$129,556 vol2 markets

Primaries

MA-01 Democratic nominee?

Richard Neal

1.08x90%

Jeromie Whalen

7.85x12%

$54,981 vol5 markets

Primaries

Democratic Senate primaries combo

Yes

31.2x3%

No

--97%

$131,791 vol1 market

Primaries

Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?

Click Bishop

1.97x41%

Dave Bronson

2.09x46%

$93,259 vol16 markets

Primaries

FL-07 Republican nominee?

Ryan Elijah

2.52x62%

Cory Mills

2.81x32%

$5,754 vol4 markets

Primaries

How many House Democrats will lose their primary this year?

7 or more

1.23x74%

6

7.25x8%

$93,085 vol8 markets

Primaries

Who will advance from the WA-04 primary?

Matt Boehnke

2.52x27%

John Duresky

1.29x76%

$19,856 vol6 markets

Primaries

Florida Republican Senate nominee?

Ashley Moody

1.02x98%

Jay Collins

93.5x1%

$105,361 vol10 markets

Primaries

MO-04 Democratic nominee?

Hartzell Gray 3rd

1.79x55%

Jordan Herrera

3.40x27%

$40,302 vol7 markets

Primaries

AZ-05 Democratic nominee?

Elizabeth Lee

1.12x89%

Chris James

8.56x9%

$27,417 vol5 markets

Primaries

LA-01 Democratic nominee?

Lauren Jewett

18.8x3%

Jim Long

93.5x4%

$66,878 vol2 markets

Primaries

MI-11 Democratic nominee?

Jeremy Moss

1.18x84%

Aisha Farooqi

5.25x17%

$27,826 vol4 markets