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Fed

Fed funds rate at end of 2027

Above 4.50%
1.76x
Above 4.75%
2.46x
$122,578 vol21 markets
US FED

Fed decision in October?

Fed maintains rate
1.15x
Hike 25bps
6.74x
$12,561,274 vol5 markets
Fed

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0 cuts
1.05x
Exactly 1 cut
23.4x
$10,746,036 vol21 markets
Fed

Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?

Michael Faulkender
Michael Faulkender
Michael Faulkender
2.40x
Rebecca Patterson
Rebecca Patterson
Rebecca Patterson
13.4x
$8,207 vol5 markets
US FED

Fed funds rate after October meeting?

Above 4.00%
5.90x
Above 4.25%
93.5x
$398,435 vol11 markets
Fed

Next Fed rate hike?

Before 2027
1.19x
Before July 2027
1.07x
$127,663 vol5 markets
Fed

Number of rate hikes this year?

Exactly 2
1.40x
Exactly 1
3.96x
$277,046 vol4 markets
US FED

October 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents

Rate: No change, Dissents: >0
1.19x
Rate: No change, Dissents: 0
6.29x
$24,533 vol6 markets
US FED

How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting?

0
3.52x
2
3.29x
$19,927 vol6 markets
Fed

Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026

Above $6.8 trillion
2.14x
Above $6.9 trillion
3.80x
$5,313 vol12 markets
US FED

Who will dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Lorie Logan
1.86x
Neel Kashkari
2.46x
$26,195 vol12 markets
Fed

SOFR for October 19, 2026

Exactly 3.88%
1.03x
Exactly 3.87%
1.20x
$5,870 vol7 markets
Fed

Number of Fed rate changes before 2027

Exactly 2
1.40x
Exactly 1
5.56x
$164,986 vol12 markets
Fed

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Yes
46.8x
No
1.01x
$674,521 vol1 market
Fed

Next Fed rate cut?

Before 2028
1.93x
Before July 2028
1.36x
$3,159 vol5 markets
Fed

Number of emergency rate cuts this year?

0 cuts
1.02x
2 cuts
93.5x
$510,728 vol5 markets
Fed

Fed rate cut before 2027?

Yes
23.4x
No
1.04x
$1,513,309 vol1 market
Fed

Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?

Yes
23.4x
No
1.02x
$186,244 vol1 market
Fed

Fed median dot plot in December 2026

Above 4.1%
2.46x
Above 4.2%
5.25x
$2,919 vol12 markets
Fed

Will rates hit zero this year?

Yes
23.4x
No
1.01x
$62,694 vol1 market
Fed

Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?

Reserve President Rejected
5.90x
Trimmed Mean Emphasized
5.25x
$47,719 vol5 markets
Fed

Will the Fed schedule fewer than eight policy meetings a year?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.02x
$9,653 vol1 market
Fed

Total Fed dissents in 2026

Exactly 8
3.40x
Exactly 9
3.66x
$889 vol7 markets
Fed

Will the Fed publish a dot plot in December?

Yes
1.05x
No
6.74x
$34 vol1 market