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Fed
Trending
Frequency
Fed decision in March?
Fed maintains rate
1.10
x
90
%
Cut 25bps
9.41
x
10
%
$1,802,719 vol
5 markets
Powell out as Chair?
Before May 2026
8.56
x
11
%
Before November
93.52
x
1
%
$8,604,635 vol
6 markets
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Exactly 2 cuts
3.80
x
25
%
Exactly 3 cuts
4.31
x
22
%
$618,309 vol
21 markets
Fed funds rate after March meeting?
Above 3.50%
1.12
x
89
%
Above 3.75%
46.79
x
2
%
$40,101 vol
11 markets
What will the Bank of England do at the February meeting?
Maintain current rate
1.05
x
95
%
Hike more than 25bp
46.79
x
2
%
$47,722 vol
5 markets
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
Yes
2.73
x
35
%
No
1.50
x
65
%
$74,026 vol
1 market
What will the European Central Bank do at the February ECB meeting?
Maintain current rate
1.01
x
99
%
Cut more than 25bp
46.79
x
2
%
$65,130 vol
5 markets
What will the Bank of Mexico do at the February meeting?
Maintain current rate
1.04
x
96
%
Hike 50 basis points
31.21
x
3
%
$20,849 vol
7 markets
Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?
Yes
4.73
x
20
%
No
1.23
x
80
%
$50,158 vol
1 market
What will the Reserve Bank of Australia do at the February RBA meeting?
Hike 1-25 basis points
1.40
x
70
%
Maintain current rate
3.08
x
31
%
$82,465 vol
5 markets
Bank of Canada decision in March?
Maintains rate
1.09
x
91
%
Cut 25bps
13.41
x
7
%
$5,178 vol
5 markets
Number of emergency rate cuts this year?
0 cuts
1.14
x
87
%
1 cuts
6.29
x
15
%
$25,830 vol
5 markets
Next Fed rate hike?
Before 2028
2.66
x
36
%
Before July 2027
4.13
x
23
%
$1,069,176 vol
6 markets
What will the People's Bank of China do at the February 2026 meeting?
Maintain current rate
1.33
x
74
%
Cut 1-10 basis points
4.51
x
21
%
$861 vol
5 markets
What will the Bank of Russia do at the February key rate meeting?
Maintain current rate
1.79
x
54
%
Cut 50 basis points
2.66
x
36
%
$9,210 vol
7 markets
Fed funds highest rate in 2023?
5.50% to 5.99%
1.01
x
99
%
4.74% or below
93.52
x
1
%
$912,518 vol
15 markets
Number of rate cuts in 2024?
0
--
0
%
1
--
0
%
$0 vol
15 markets
What will the Bank of Korea do at the November 2025 BOK meeting?
Maintain current rate
1.01
x
99
%
Cut more than 25bp
31.21
x
3
%
$27,659 vol
5 markets
What will the Bank of Japan do at the January BOJ meeting?
Maintain current rate
1.02
x
98
%
Cut more than 25bp
93.52
x
1
%
$735,102 vol
5 markets