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Econ Daily
Econ Weekly
Fed
GDP
Global Central Banks
Growth
Housing
Inflation
Jobs & Economy
Oil and energy
Hub
US FED
Sep 16
Fed decision in September?
Fed maintains rate
66
%
Hike 25bps
34
%
$14,117,954 vol
3 more
US FED
Fed decision in September?
Market
Pays out
Odds
Fed maintains rate
1.48
x
66
%
Hike 25bps
2.81
x
34
%
Cut 25bps
93.5
x
1
%
Cut >25bps
93.5
x
1
%
$14,117,954 vol
1 more
1 of 3
Econ Daily
Diesel prices tomorrow
Above $5.635
2.34
x
43
%
Above $5.630
1.18
x
84
%
$52,090 vol
21 markets
Inflation
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
Above 3.0%
1.83
x
53
%
Above 2.5%
1.38
x
46
%
$3,359 vol
13 markets
Oil and energy
Gas prices in the US this month
Above 4.12
1.70
x
52
%
Above 4.13
2.01
x
48
%
$708,666 vol
35 markets
Fed
Next Fed rate hike?
Before 2027
1.57
x
61
%
Before July 2027
1.34
x
73
%
$4,903,901 vol
3 markets
Fed
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Exactly 0 cuts
1.15
x
86
%
Exactly 1 cut
7.85
x
12
%
$7,673,256 vol
21 markets
Oil and energy
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get this year?
Above 91,500 MW
2.98
x
32
%
Above 92,500 MW
11.7
x
8
%
$61,840 vol
7 markets
Jobs & Economy
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average this year
Above 84,000 jobs
1.50
x
65
%
Above 85,000 jobs
2.89
x
33
%
$97,307 vol
13 markets
Jobs & Economy
Wisconsin manufacturing employment average this year
Above 455,000 jobs
1.83
x
52
%
Above 457,500 jobs
3.08
x
31
%
$47,585 vol
7 markets
Jobs & Economy
Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment this year
Above 555,000 jobs
1.73
x
57
%
Above 560,000 jobs
7.85
x
10
%
$17,008 vol
6 markets
Inflation
CPI in August
Above 0.3%
1.83
x
51
%
Above 0.2%
1.14
x
86
%
$130,927 vol
15 markets
Oil and energy
Wyoming total coal production this year
Above 210 MMst
1.83
x
52
%
Above 220 MMst
4.51
x
12
%
$44,705 vol
8 markets
Jobs & Economy
Visitors to Florida this year
Above 142 million
1.62
x
61
%
Above 140 million
1.25
x
80
%
$43,215 vol
7 markets
Growth
Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers this year
Above 16.00 million
2.19
x
43
%
Above 15.75 million
1.19
x
78
%
$20,784 vol
6 markets
Housing
California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
Above 710,000
1.93
x
49
%
Above 700,000
1.18
x
83
%
$9,558 vol
7 markets
Jobs & Economy
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
Above 260,000 jobs
1.83
x
53
%
Above 265,000 jobs
4.51
x
19
%
$63,084 vol
10 markets
Growth
Kansas wheat production this year
Above 190 million bushels
1.79
x
53
%
Above 185 million bushels
1.22
x
82
%
$6,594 vol
8 markets
Growth
New Hampshire maple syrup production next year
Above 150,000 gallons
2.09
x
45
%
Above 140,000 gallons
1.52
x
64
%
$9,872 vol
5 markets
US FED
Fed funds rate after September meeting?
Above 3.75%
2.73
x
35
%
Above 4.00%
93.5
x
1
%
$515,214 vol
11 markets
Jobs & Economy
Unemployment in August
Above 4.1%
1.83
x
53
%
Above 4.2%
3.96
x
24
%
$292,840 vol
14 markets
Jobs & Economy
Will Florida receive more visitors this year than in 2025?
Yes
3.66
x
21
%
No
1.25
x
79
%
$5,325 vol
1 market
US FED
How many dissenting votes at the September Fed meeting?
3
2.59
x
36
%
4
4.51
x
21
%
$37,169 vol
6 markets