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What will the Bank of Japan do at the December BOJ meeting?
Hike 21-40 basis points
91
%
↑
5
%
Maintain current rate
10
%
↑
2
%
$135,593 vol
Show more
5
What will the European Central Bank do at the December ECB meeting?
Maintain current rate
97
%
Cut 1-25 basis points
3
%
↑
2
%
$37,030 vol
Show more
3
What will the Bank of England do at the December BOE meeting?
Cut 1-25 basis points
93
%
↑
2
%
Maintain current rate
6
%
↑
6
%
$26,716 vol
Show more
3
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations this year?
BJ
Before Jan 1, 2026
1
%
↑
2
%
$311,142 vol
Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed this year?
B2
Before 2026
3
%
↑
1
%
$93,515 vol
What countries will Pope Leo visit before 2027?
Portugal
44
%
↑
8
%
Peru
41
%
↑
8
%
$27,087 vol
Show more
10
What countries will Trump visit before 2027?
Italy
55
%
↑
22
%
Saudi Arabia
46
%
↑
52
%
$4,291 vol
Show more
22
What will the People's Bank of China do at the December PBOC meeting?
Maintain current rate
84
%
↑
1
%
Hike more than 10bp
7
%
↑
1
%
$12,929 vol
Show more
3
Will the US recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran this year?
B2
Before 2026
1
%
↑
2
%
$83,450 vol
Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom this year?
Rudy Giuliani
14
%
Kid Rock (Robert James Ritchie)
2
%
↑
18
%
$22,518 vol
Show more
3
What companies will be added to the S&P 500 this year?
M(
Microstrategy (MSTR)
2
%
↑
3
%
CE
Cheniere Energy (LNG)
1
%
↑
10
%
$65,757 vol
Show more
4
Which countries will have a recession?
United Kingdom
43
%
↑
9
%
Japan
58
%
↑
1
%
$86,422 vol
Show more
2
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
Saudi Arabia
27
%
↑
5
%
Oman
19
%
↑
3
%
$126,390 vol
Show more
9
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?
BJ
Before Jan 1, 2027
17
%
↑
8
%
$46,823 vol
Which states will Trump visit before 2027?
Hawaii
44
%
↑
16
%
Colorado
44
%
↑
10
%
$1,823 vol
Show more
9
Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?
Yes
2
%
↑
5
%
No
98
%
↑
5
%
$28,599 vol
Will Tesla discontinue the Cybertruck this year?
B2
Before 2026
11
%
↑
8
%
$40,783 vol
Will Donald Trump visit Moscow this year?
M
Moscow
4
%
↑
2
%
$75,715 vol
How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?
At least 3
40
%
↑
11
%
At least 8
31
%
↑
6
%
$17,029 vol
Show more
2
Will New York City open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?
BJ
Before Jan 2028
71
%
$15,843 vol
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
By 2030
27
%
$28,278 vol
Bank of Canada decision this month?
Maintains rate
97
%
Cut 25bps
6
%
↑
2
%
$67,609 vol
Show more
3
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter next year?
above 1000
58
%
↑
2
%
above 5000
23
%
↑
1
%
$11,886 vol
Show more
5
Scottish referendum called before 2027?
Before 2027
46
%
↑
40
%
$15,247 vol
Will Trump nationalize SpaceX?
Before Jan 2027
4
%
Before Jul 2026
6
%
↑
3
%
$13,566 vol
Show more
1
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza this year?
Yes
1
%
↑
1
%
No
99
%
↑
1
%
$62,177 vol
Will Planet Fitness report above 23 million members before January?
A2
above 23 million members
14
%
↑
8
%
$8,570 vol
What will the Bank of Mexico do at the December BdeM meeting?
Cut 1-25 basis points
92
%
↑
1
%
Maintain current rate
8
%
↑
1
%
$28,360 vol
Show more
3
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
EJ
Ending Jun 4, 2029
83
%
↑
1
%
$2,705 vol
Who will visit New York City before June 2026?
Benjamin Netanyahu
62
%
↑
2
%
Joe Biden
36
%
↑
1
%
$8,520 vol
Show more
8
When will Barack Obama's presidential library open to the public?
Before Jul 2026
71
%
↑
3
%
Before Jan 2027
85
%
↑
1
%
$2,839 vol
Show more
1
Will Donald Trump join Bluesky this year?
B2
Before 2026
3
%
↑
2
%
$11,943 vol
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit Russia this year?
Yes
1
%
No
99
%
$21,291 vol
Who will the next Pope be?
Pietro Parolin
9
%
Luis Antonio Tagle
4
%
$9,649 vol
Show more
3
Will Uber discontinue the Woman Driver Request Feature this year? This market pertains to the US Program.
B2
Before 2026
8
%
↑
6
%
$9,319 vol
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
M
Mars
6
%
↑
4
%
$21,208 vol
Will Xi Jinping visit the US this year?
Yes
1
%
↑
2
%
No
99
%
↑
2
%
$77,799 vol
Will the UK issue a new form of investor visa before the US issues a gold card?
B2
Before 2026
13
%
↑
1
%
$2,686 vol
What will the Reserve Bank of Australia do at the December RBA meeting?
Maintain current rate
99
%
Cut 1-25 basis points
7
%
↑
3
%
$22,538 vol
Show more
3
Where will Tesla diner's open this year?
SA
San Antonio, Texas
7
%
↑
6
%
HT
Houston, Texas
8
%
↑
7
%
$3,777 vol
Show more
4
Where will Eric Emanuel stores open this year?
NJ
New Jersey
4
%
↑
11
%
C
California
14
%
↑
1
%
$351 vol
Show more
7
EU has a new member before 2030?
Any country
80
%
$3,419 vol
Will the ban on Harvard accepting internationals end this year?
In 2025
15
%
↑
5
%
$14,591 vol
Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
B2
Before 2030
22
%
$921 vol
Will Trump visit Outer Space this year?
OS
Outer Space
1
%
↑
1
%
$18,976 vol
Will Sig Sauer discontinue the P320 this year?
B2
Before 2026
2
%
↑
8
%
$9,137 vol
EU loses a member before 2030?
By 2030
29
%
↑
6
%
$12,739 vol
Will Elon Musk visit Outer Space this year?
Outer Space
1
%
$6,150 vol
Will Zohran Mamdani be deported this year?
Before 2026
1
%
$26,465 vol
Will Riley Gaines and AOC debate this year?
B2
Before 2026
2
%
$15,884 vol
How bad will CO2 atmospheric concentration get before 2030?
At least 445
52
%
At least 450
31
%
$187 vol
Show more
3
Where will Chamberlain Coffee open a location this year?
SD
San Diego, California
10
%
SF
San Francisco, California
12
%
↑
3
%
$768 vol
Show more
8
When will Argentina dollarize its economy?
Before 2026
1
%
↑
2
%
$138,888 vol
Argentina's central bank shuts down this year?
Shuts down
1
%
$70,866 vol
Will Apple launch USDC payments on Apple Pay this year?
B2
Before 2026
5
%
↑
1
%
$5,302 vol